Posted by Lowell on August 28, 2001 at 19:34:02:
We have been following the progress of the far-field forecast from New Zealand over the past several days. Readers of this board know that several large (Mw>=6) earthquakes have occurred in areas where that forecast expected triggering to occur since the New Zealand earthquake. A number of events occurred again today which were forecast in that post. The largest of these occurred in Northern Chile/Argentina area The local network gives parameters as: 28AUG2001 06:56:09 22S 69W MW=6.0 DGF NNE of TOCOPILLLA, CHILE In the far-field forecast from New Zealand, this area, along with the Moluccas (where a 6.0 occurred yesterday) and Hokkaido (where a 5.2 occurred earlier in the week) was expected to show significant aftershock activity: "In general, areas which appear to consistently have moderate to strong earthquakes in the 10 days following Ms 7+ earthquakes in this area of the Kermadecs/N.Z are: Argentina/Chile border 22-26S 65-68W" This earthquake falls within 1 degree of the stated zone. Other posts have dealt with the band of unusual earthquakes across the plains and mountain states which lie at 101-103 degrees from the New Zealand mainshock. Since this is the edge of the shadow zone for this earthquake, it is highly likely that some far-field triggering is affecting the occurrence of these U.S. and Canada quakes. For information on felt Chile earthquakes see: http://ssn.dgf.uchile.cl/cgi-bin/sis/informesis
Follow Ups:
● Flare effects - Lowell 19:48:16 - 8/28/2001 (9165) (0)
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