Hi Alan,

Interesting post and I'll back up most of what you said.

The only thing wrong is with the quakes that you listed where most of them are before my post.
I posted at 19:26 on the 18th or 02:26 UTC on the 19th.

1999/10/18 06:35:47.0 34.3500N 116.1500W 1.4 4.6 <== before my post
1999/10/18 11:02:20.0 34.8500N 116.3500W 6.0 4.4 <== before my post
1999/10/18 19:01:59.0 32.1900N 115.1800W 5.0 4.5 <== before my post not aftershock
1999/10/19 12:20:44.0 34.7100N 116.3400W 5.0 4.6 <== after my post
1999/10/18 06:35:47.0 34.3500N 116.1500W 1.4 4.6 <== listed twice
1999/10/19 12:20:44.0 34.7100N 116.3400W 5.0 4.6 <== listed twice

On my post I had reported my secondaries being quiet on Monday morning. The quakes listed for the 18th above were prior to that. Then on Monday evening the secondaries were extremely
active followed by the M4.6. This morning secondaries were only active in 1/20th of the locations.

Yes, Alan and Roger are both right in regards to the likelyhood of getting a hit by chance due to aftershocks following the M7.1 quake. The thing that they keep forgetting though is that the quake could be somewhere else. In this case, the prediction has already hit with this mornings M4.6 but as I said, I'm not convinced that this is the event that I"m looking for. Reason being that not all of my secondaries went quiet. Its also interesting that we haven't had any M4+ aftershocks since 5:20 this morning. Lots of 3's, but no 4's and even longer since any M5's. What are the odds of that?

Dennis