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Re: Island daughter and Amit-Roger discussion |
Roger Here are the actual quakes (7+) as against predicted dates for the year 2011 ,till October 2011 1) January Prediction date -------------actual dates and quake 4th------------------2nd at 2020Hrs UTC----7.2 2)April 8th-----------------7th at 1432 Hrs--7.1 3)July 9th------------------6th at 1903 Hrs---7.6 10th---------------7.0 4)August 22nd----------------20th at 1819 Hrs-----7.1 5)September 5th-------------------3rd at 2255 Hrs UTC---7.0 16th-----------------15th -----7.3 6)October 22/23rd-------------21st--------7.4 23rd--------7.2 Thus there are 9 Hits of 7+ quakes If you do not consider little inaccurcy of 2/3 Hrs ,there are 5 dot hits (+ or - one day window and 7+) There are 19 quakes of 7+ during January to October 2011(incluning clusters) The average number of 7+ quakes per year are 15 thus odds are 15/120----120 because ,total days 360/ 3 day window period ie 1/8 ie one in eight or 0.125 Now 9 hits out of 19 is 9/19 0.473 Even if we consider 5 hit out of 19 it comes to 5/19 ie 0.263 Both way it is above random date selection or average occurances(even after taking in to account cluster of quakes) Amit Follow Ups: ● Re: Island daughter and Amit-Roger discussion - Amit 10:04:20 - 12/15/2012 (80797) (1) ● Re: Island daughter and Amit-Roger discussion - Roger Hunter 12:56:40 - 12/15/2012 (80801) (1) ● Re: Island daughter and Amit-Roger discussion - Roger Hunter 19:12:08 - 12/15/2012 (80805) (1) ● Re: Island daughter and Amit-Roger discussion - Amit 00:05:13 - 12/16/2012 (80806) (1) ● Re: Island daughter and Amit-Roger discussion - Amit 00:37:20 - 12/16/2012 (80807) (1) ● Re: Island daughter and Amit-Roger discussion - Amit 07:19:05 - 12/16/2012 (80808) (1) ● Re: Island daughter and Amit-Roger discussion - Roger Hunter 07:31:43 - 12/16/2012 (80809) (1) ● Re: Island daughter and Amit-Roger discussion - Amit 07:45:06 - 12/16/2012 (80810) (1) ● Re: Island daughter and Amit-Roger discussion - Roger Hunter 08:48:33 - 12/16/2012 (80815) (1) ● Re: Island daughter and Amit-Roger discussion - Amit 08:53:54 - 12/16/2012 (80816) (1) ● Re: Island daughter and Amit-Roger discussion - Roger Hunter 09:03:46 - 12/16/2012 (80817) (0) |
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