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Re: Far-field Triggering forecast from Kermadec -Prelim. evaluation
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Posted by Lowell on June 13, 2001 at 14:29:01:
I did have that in mind, Roger. That is why I asked about a method to test this statistically. It is true that these are seismically active regions (except for the mid-Atlantic ridge zone, where Mb>5 earthquakes are not common). But there are many Other seismically active areas of the earth as well where seismicity was not very active in this period - e.g. The Aleutians, Alaska, the entire coast of South America, Indonesia, etc. To test this, I did a quick check from the global catalog. I looked at the number of events in these 7 areas of Mb>=5.5 and found 5261 events. The total number of events in the global catalog of Mb>=5.5 is 37905. This means that at this level 13.8% of the global catalog is from these 7 regions, 86.2 % from other areas. I am presuming that approximately the same percentages would apply to events of Mb>=4.5. If this presumption is correct (I did not check it since this would involve several million events), then comparing 64% of the catalog over the past 10 days in these 7 regions over a background rate of 13.8% of the catalog in these 7 regions suggests this was an anomalous period of activity in these regions compared with the rest of the global catalog.
Follow Ups:
● Re: Far-field Triggering forecast from Kermadec -Prelim. evaluation - Roger Hunter 15:08:37 - 6/13/2001 (7984) (1)
● Re: Far-field Triggering forecast from Kermadec -Prelim. evaluation - Lowell 15:37:11 - 6/13/2001 (7986) (1)
● Re: Far-field Triggering forecast from Kermadec -Prelim. evaluation - Roger Hunter 16:36:24 - 6/13/2001 (7989) (1)
● Re: Far-field Triggering forecast from Kermadec -Prelim. evaluation - Lowell 18:28:44 - 6/13/2001 (7990) (1)
● Re: Far-field Triggering forecast from Kermadec -Prelim. evaluation - Roger Hunter 19:47:07 - 6/13/2001 (7995) (0)
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