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| UPDATE - May 9, 2011 |
EARTHQUAKE WARNING UPDATE – Posted by EQF on May 9, 2011 http://www.freewebz.com/eq-forecasting/Year_Chart.html The above URL links are for a new Web page at one of my Web sites. The Year Charts on that Web page display information regarding EM Signals and powerful and fatal earthquakes going from the present back to the beginning of 2001. They provide an indication of the degree to which the line peak groups on the Year Charts can be trusted to provide an accurate warning that an earthquake could be approaching for people living along some longitude line. I wish that the correlation were better than it is. More sophisticated probability equations in my computer programs might help. This is a relatively new area of science. And I myself am still on the steep part of the learning curve with regard to interpreting the data on the Year Charts. It only became possible to generate these charts in an efficient manner during the past week. Whereas it took hours at a minimum in the past, they can now be generated in a matter of minutes thanks to the computer programming code improvements. The rules governing the generation of these EM Signals appear to be quite complex. But it is likely that the signals are probably stronger and clearer for earthquakes that are physically closer in location to where the EM Signals are being monitored. Note the presence of the line peak groups around 122 W in the weeks before the deadly December 22, 2003 earthquake in California. On the third chart there is a red triangle (fatalities indicator) that shows where on the chart that earthquake can be seen. CA fault zones are closer to me in distance than ones in Japan. So, an approaching 6 magnitude earthquake in California would, other things being equal, probably be easier for me to detect than a more powerful one in the Japan area. Another observation is that when an approaching earthquake starts to get above 7.5 magnitude, its fault zone might stop generating the types of EM Signals that my program relies on. Or, it could be that those extremely powerful earthquakes are usually occurring in fault zones that are pressing up against one another rather than trying to slip sideways past one another. And those “strike” type fault zones might simply not be very efficient for generating these EM Signals. Future studies might determine which of those theories or hypotheses is the correct one or if both, or neither, is accurate. As I said, this effort is still on the steep part of the learning curve. But at least now, these types of data can be generated fairly quickly and efficiently. |
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