Posted by Lowell on June 04, 2001 at 18:57:15:
Don's forecast for Vancouver Island region during May 28-June 2, 2001 can now be evaluated. The forecast stated an earthquake could be expected within the following parameters: Magnitude: 3.5-5.0 From: 05/28/2001 - To: 06/02/2001 Location: Vancouver Island Lat: 50.9N - Long: 130.8W - Range: 50K According to the PGC web page: http://www.pgc.nrcan.gc.ca/seismo/recent/wc.50evt.list.html The following events occurred near the time of the forecast and within 200 km of the expected location. 2001/05/28 08:53:12 49.21N 129.74W 10F 2.4 235 km SW Pt. Hardy BC 2001/05/28 06:55:07 49.07N 128.45W 10F 2.4 184 km WSW Gold R. BC 2001/05/27 06:03:02 49.17N 129.22W 10F 2.7 214 km SW Pt. Hardy BC 2001/05/26 22:09:26 49.71N 130.02W 10F 2.5 216 km WSW Pt. Hardy BC No earthquakes have been listed which occurred within the expected parameters. The largest earthquake in the region that is currently listed on this web page has Ml< 3.0. While these were the largest events near Vancouver Island in the past two weeks, since none of the events fell within your stated parameters, the prediction must be rated a "MISS". Sorry Don, better luck next time.
|