Posted by EQF on November 08, 2010 at 22:36:08:
Hi Canie, Congratulations are in order. Your goal as well as mine these past many years has been to move the science of earthquake forecasting in a useful direction. And in spite of our local “experts” opinions to the contrary, this has now come to pass. With the creation of that new Charts-Interpret Web page the preliminary work with this forecasting effort is now complete. And as I have said in previous posts, I am now going to get started on the effort to get governments around the world to use those data and data from other researchers in order to start generating accurate, lifesaving earthquake forecasts. A person would probably need a degree in physics to appreciate this. But the following is some of what has been accomplished over the years: --- A previously relatively unknown group of useful EM Signals has been discovered. Some of them are responsible for the Ear Tones that perhaps 1 person in 1000 can hear. --- My forecasting computer program probability routines explain how many of our more powerful earthquakes are being triggered (by forces associate with the gravitational pulls of the sun and the moon). --- An actual forecasting program has been created. And although the program itself presently has only a limited accuracy, I believe that it is pointing to how researchers can develop much higher accuracy programs. Past bulletin board battles over theories and data got a little frightening at times and probably dramatically slowed everyone’s forecasting efforts. But you and the EarthWaves bulletin board somehow survived them. And so did this forecasting effort. Finally, as I said, it is now on to the real challenge, getting governments moving. I have been planning for this for a long time. Key U.S. government personnel were formally told about this effort years ago. And with those latest Web site data on the Year Charts I now have quite a bit of confidence that I should be able to get the U.S. moving. I also expect that some of my forecasting colleagues in other countries will follow my lead and try to do the same in their own countries. Once again, some congratulations are in order for the successful effort to keep the bulletin board running through some rather trying times.
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