Re: Question for Amit
Posted by EQF on June 07, 2010 at 14:01:09:

Okay. I found them.

I took a quick look at your forecasts for 2009 and compared them with a table of 7 and higher magnitude earthquakes that occurred in 2009. And I have to agree with what I believe Roger has been saying. It does not look like there is much of a correlation. And if you can't get good matches with even the 7 and higher magnitude earthquakes then you need to wonder if the forecasting method is working.

Also, based on my understanding of how your forecasting method works I myself would not really expect it to generate too many accurate forecasts.

However, as I have also said in the past, experienced scientists are in my opinion usually hesitant to say that something is impossible or that it doesn't work. So I will simply state here that your forecasting method doesn't appear to me to be working. And I suspect that you might be wasting your time with it.


Follow Ups:
     ● Re: Question for Amit - Roger Hunter  16:28:31 - 6/7/2010  (77170)  (1)
        ● Re: Question for Amit - EQF  17:45:32 - 6/7/2010  (77171)  (1)
           ● Re: Question for Amit - Amit Dave  06:40:59 - 6/8/2010  (77174)  (2)
              ● Re: Question for Amit - EQF  04:36:37 - 6/9/2010  (77178)  (0)
              ● Re: Question for Amit - Skywise  22:15:39 - 6/8/2010  (77175)  (1)
                 ● Re: Question for Amit - Amit Dave  00:48:17 - 6/9/2010  (77177)  (1)
                    ● Re: Question for Amit - Skywise  11:10:19 - 6/9/2010  (77179)  (0)