Amit;

Your question caused me to find an error in my program. Thank you.

Here's the situation for 2010.

There were 120 days in the time period Jan-Apr. That's 40 windows. There were 48 mag 6+ quakes but they fell into 34 of the windows so the chances of a hit are 85%.

You had 10 predictions and 8 were correct for 80% which is below chance.

So you're even worse than I thought.

Roger