Re: M6 quakes; test results
Posted by Skywise on April 21, 2010 at 16:53:29:

No real darts involved, just virtual ones. I actually cheated and made sure my predictions overlapped so as to provide as close to 100% coverage as possible along all the major fault zones, such as the Ring Of Fire. I then threw in a couple "gut instinct WAG's" as well just to spice things up. Most surprising to me were the hits on the WAG's. ISTR one was in South Africa.

Although I successfully predicted 92% of all worldwide M4+ quakes, only about 2/3rds of the predictions themselves had hits.

In the end, I cheated, and still couldn't beat chance.

As for a future guessing game, I'd be willing, but alas my current situation doesn't allow me to do it. I'm still house hunting out here in Colorado.

Brian