Posted by John Vidale on January 27, 2010 at 07:53:18:
The prediction lacks 1. a specific area (aside from the whole world) 2. a specific time period is very soft- a few days, and 3. the magnitude range is soft- "PROBABLY" above 6. as noted by mrrabbit. There is no indication from where the 50% likelihood estimate arose. Finally, discussion of the limitations are specifically requested NOT to be posted. I doubt there is a credible authority in the world who would consider 1/4 of a prediction posted without a basis and anonymously on a discussion board to be a credible source. If there are such readers, they should think more carefully.
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