Posted by Skywise on October 15, 2007 at 23:38:13:
I quit updating my Earthquake Dart Board back in early March of this year. The project lasted for just over 16 months with impressive results. Magnitude range: 4.00 - 10.00 Distance range: 0 - 1000 kilometers Predictions: 5489 (total number of predictions made so far) Prediction Hits: 3688 (number of predictions with at least one hit) Total candidates: 18952 (total number of quakes within the magnitude range) Total hits: 17450 (number of candidate quakes within range of a prediction) Candidates missed: 1502 (number of candidate quakes missed) Hit/Candidate Ratio: 92.075% Hit/Prediction Ratio: 67.189% (predictions with hits vs total predictions) To put it simply, 67% of my predictions successfully predicted 92% of the worlds earthquakes of magnitude 4.5 or above.
http://www.skywise711.com/quakes/EQDB/index.html Brian
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