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diminishing samples
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Posted by John Vidale on August 27, 2007 at 20:44:07:
You could think of it this way: We're counting the interval after each quake before the next one happens. If one happens after a certain interval, say 3 days, it is no longer possible to have a longer interval. So the third of the events that have another event within a day cannot have an interval longer than a day, the third of the other two thirds that have an event in the following day cannot have an interval longer than two days, etc. Which leads to a distribution 1/3, 2/9, 4/27, 8/81, ... with each day stepping down by a third in a geometric series.
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