Thanks George,

Actually, it wasn't the interpreting of seismic reception I was referring to, but rather the accuracy of the prediction, although now that you mention it, I see they are inextricably interrelated.

Which still calls to mind color, only now a color wheel in which intensity and hue are added to the mix.

Predictions could be color gradated depending on how tight or loose they are. The hits and misses, likewise.

Example: Divide the color wheel in half, with red/orange/yellow for hits/misses, and green/blue/purple for predictions.

A prediction of a 5.5 within a twenty mile radius of downtown San Jose between April 1 and 5th would be a pretty tight prediction, and could indicated as a bright green.

A prediction for a 3.5 to hit S. Calif. sometime in the month of April would be a pretty loose predictions and could be colored a lightly saturated blue. A prediction for a mag. 7 somewhere in the ring of fire within one month corresponds to the odds of that happening, and would be considered as loose a hit as possible. Pale purple to black.

Hits could be evaluated using the same technique.

Someone gets that 5.5 in SJ within the radius and time frame. Bright red, high intensity. That 5.5 hits within the correct time frame, but 10 miles outside the radius. Lighter red, less intensity.

The 5.5 hits not in April, but May, within the radius: Orange, perhaps. It hits in August in Corallitos: Pale purple. It never hits at all: Black.

I suggest this not because you all haven't been giving this a lot of thought, but because in reading through all the debate yesterday, it occurred to me a color wheel might be the best means of evaluating both predictions and scoring.

For what it's worth, I would let the person (Michael?) who is putting all the time and labor into this work decide the various perameters that would define a how tight a prediction was and how tight the hit was (or wasn't).

Anyone who didn't want their prediction subjected to his formal methodology could post in the usual way, not using the red prediction form.

This idea may be full of holes. If so, I'll kindly back off and let the rest of you decide, especially since I'm too chicken to make a prediction on this board. I offer it only because it occurred to me as a system that might work.

Cathryn