My main question is how many HAVEN'T happened? If you only hit 10% of the predictions, then that isn't good enough.

As I understand it, you use what you consider to be foreshocks to predict where earthquakes may appear. In a number of quakes it may be true that they are foreshocks, but not always as I'm sure you have come to find out.

This is not a new science - many scientists have studied foreshocks and the fact of the matter is you just CAN'T tell which ones are foreshocks and which ones aren't. But I do keep my eye on all nearby swarms!

Canie