Hi Martin:

Very impressive. Nice to see you tighten up your predictions! I'm most impressed with your location on this prediction. Looking at the data, I saw a number of forshocks in late December. I assume this is what you based your predicition on?

Looking at the data, the 3.6 falls within your window and is a hit for sure. The 5.8 doesn't fall in your ten day window from 12/31/00, but is as close to it as you can get without actually being a hit based on your 10 day prediction of 12/31/00, but it sure raised my eyebrows!

If anybody has Alan's email handy, it would be interesting to let him analyze the chance for a 3+, 4+, and 5+ for this small area for a 10 day window.

Keep up the good work Martin! Way to go!

Michael