Re: Evaluating JOB's predictions
Posted by Canie on January 11, 2001 at 19:10:39:

I just looked over the site - I have found that its like trying to swim upstream in a flood talking to those folks.

I can state JOB's predictions based on full moons, new moons and tides... Its been the same thing every month for the last 4 years that I've watched - As far as I can tell when you have predictions out for 16 days out of every 28 you are bound to get hits. (His primary and secondary windows at 8 days each)

Some of the rather large damaging quakes we've had the last couple of years have not happened in his windows. When the Turkey quake hit he was saying 'Ring of Fire' - Turkey was during one of his windows (I think) but it was definitely NOT in the ring of fire, therefore no hit. Now he says Global.

Both JOB's method and Martin's foreshocks have some value but by themselves are not good enough to make me sit up and take notice.

Now, if we had some cluster of small quakes here, during a JOB window and Dennis got some of his 'signals' and a few others out there who consider themselves quake sensitives were getting something - Then I do sit up and take notice.

Before Hector there was a small cluster of quakes in the desert - all rather small - maybe 1 3+ quake - There had been some quakes occuring along the Pacific Plate border down in mexico and Baja (about 10 days earlier), Dennis had some signals. I called for a magnitude 5ish quake - My window had expired by a day or 2 then Hector hit. It would have been at the tail end of a JOB window I think too.

I don't think any one person will have the answer yet - but that's what this forum is all about - education and where we can all post together what we think is happening. If we all agree something is up using various methods, I think our odds on being right go up. I'd love it if more scientific methods were shared here as well.

Canie