Re: Let's get back to earthquakes
Posted by Roger Hunter on June 18, 2006 at 14:51:27:

Marc;

Yes, you should give total hits and total misses but you should also give probabilities if possible.

If I say I got 100 heads tossing coins out of 200 tries you aren't impressed because you know there is a 50% chance. But if I say I predicted half of the quakes in a given area, then what? Or if I said I got 50 out of 100 predictions right, is that good? maybe the odds were 90%.

Roger



Follow Ups:
     ● Re: Let's get back to earthquakes - marc / berkeley  11:36:33 - 6/19/2006  (38520)  (1)
        ● Re: Let's get back to earthquakes - Roger Hunter  12:31:50 - 6/19/2006  (38524)  (0)