Thanks Roger. And may I compliment you on your own thought-provoking and clarifying post regarding other prediction methodologies, and the subtle ways they can appear to be succesful.

I will attempt to provide the full text of the article to those who e-mail me at miklwlms at the .net domain of pacbell. A link to the abstract appears below. To me, the writers of the abstract appear less critical of the supposed success of the prediction than the full text of the article supports.

Mike Williams in Arroyo Grande, CA

• BSSA Abstract-Haicheng