Re: Shan, see if I understand correctly
Posted by Roger Hunter on June 12, 2006 at 16:09:08:

Cathryn;

Here's his latest stats.


List Generated: 2006/ 6/12 20:46:11.796
NEIC data: 2006/ 6/12 21:41:22.000


Magnitude range: 4.00 - 10.00
Distance range: 0 - 1000 kilometers
Predictions: 2530 (total number of predictions made so far)
Prediction Hits: 1633 (number of predictions with at least one hit)
Total candidates: 7367 (total number of quakes within the
magnitude range)


Total hits: 6786 (number of candidate quakes within range
of a prediction)
Candidates missed: 581 (number of candidate quakes missed)
Hit/Candidate Ratio: 92.113%
Hit/Prediction Ratio: 64.545% (predictions with hits vs total predictions)


I should have quoted 64.5% as that's really how to figure success.

Roger


Follow Ups:
     ● Re: Shan, see if I understand correctly - Cathryn  16:22:37 - 6/12/2006  (38236)  (1)
        ● Give the lady a cigar! - Roger Hunter  21:42:29 - 6/12/2006  (38244)  (1)
           ● Re: Give the lady a cigar! - Cathryn  22:26:57 - 6/12/2006  (38245)  (2)
              ● Re: Give the lady a cigar! - Roger Hunter  00:17:18 - 6/13/2006  (38251)  (2)
                 ● Re: Give the lady a cigar! - Glen  00:44:46 - 6/13/2006  (38254)  (1)
                    ● Re: Give the lady a cigar! - Roger Hunter  07:02:11 - 6/13/2006  (38261)  (0)
                 ● Re: Give the lady a cigar! - Roger Hunter  00:23:19 - 6/13/2006  (38252)  (1)
                    ● Ah. (NT) - Cathryn  00:43:54 - 6/13/2006  (38253)  (0)
              ● Re: Give the lady a cigar! - Glen  00:07:06 - 6/13/2006  (38249)  (1)
                 ● Re: Give the lady a cigar! - Cathryn  00:53:42 - 6/13/2006  (38256)  (1)
                    ● Re: Give the lady a cigar! - Glen  01:12:06 - 6/13/2006  (38257)  (1)
                       ● Re: Give the lady a cigar! - Cathryn  13:27:10 - 6/13/2006  (38275)  (0)