I have been away since September 27. Looks like things got interesting recently.

Petra issued a prediction based on Kathy Gori's headache. I have computed this event to have a 39% chance of happening.

Of course, as readers of this forum know, there was a hit:

2000/10/12 16:51:19.0 34.5600N 118.9000W 27.4 3.9

Dennis reported on the parameters that Jim Berkeland gave to the event which had a tighter window on the magnitude and time but looser on the space than those windows given by Petra. These parameters yielded a probability of just 7%.

The above hit is a hit with both Petra's and Jim Berkeland's windows.