A magnitude miss on a M3.2 is better than a magnitude miss on a 2.5....and there have not been many M3s in California the last week or more....and the close match on location means something I don't have time or inclination this evening to go back and figure out what you are doing...it is "beer O'clock" in suburbia..

My brain, and most brains, can't make much sense of predictions of small mag earthquakes...you pretty much have to establish a record and then have it evaluated by Roger.....although I can't really follow/remember what Roger is doing and his back-and-forth on Don's predictions tended to make me disregard the evaluation....but his is the only credible evaluation that you have access to.
Chris