THIS IS A DEMONSTRATION FORECAST FOR EXPECTED SEISMIC ACTIVITY

This demonstration forecast is based on two earthquake sensitivity related seismic activity warning type signals which were detected on August 19, 2000. It is presently believed that the second signal was probably associated with the following earthquake: 21Aug2000 13:25:38.6 24.7N 102.4E 33 MS=4.2 M YUNNAN, CHINA (data from a RedPuma table). The first signal might have also been associated with that earthquake, or perhaps with the following one: 00/08/22 16:55:16 38.28N 57.11E 33.0 5.8Ms B TURKMENISTAN-IRAN BORDER REGION (data from a U.S. National Earthquake Information Service table).

Seismic activity forecasts may be posted here by me in the future shortly after warning type signals are detected. One of the goals would be to see if other forecasters around the world could help determine where expected seismic activity is likely to occur. Location determination procedures which I myself am using are not yet generating sufficiently accurate and reliable data.

SAE - SEISMIC ACTIVITY EXPECTED

WHEN EXPECTED:
Around or after August 24, 2000

SOME POSSIBLE LOCATIONS FOR THIS EXPECTED SEISMIC ACTIVITY:
Eastern and central Asia

INFORMATION NEEDED (future forecasts):
Opinions are being sought regarding where this expected seismic activity could occur.

Are the locations listed above likely?
Are there other locations which are more likely?

Additional Information:
(1) Two warning type signals were detected on August 19, 2000.
(2) The detection method is "earthquake sensitivity."
(3) The interpretation of these warning type signals is not yet an exact science. Forecast data are simply best estimates.

Opinions Regarding Possible Times And Locations For Expected Seismic Activity Discussed In Future Forecasts Could Be:
(1) Posted to this site in response notes.
(2) Sent to the site administrator along with a request that they be forwarded.
(3) Posted to the sci.geo.earthquakes Newsgroup.

Comments:
(1) It would be appreciated if any questions regarding this demonstration forecast which are posted here in response notes would focus mainly on the details of the forecast. Questions regarding other subjects such as the detection method etc. might be sent to the site administrator along with a request that they be forwarded.
(2) The information in this demonstration forecast represents expressions of personal opinion.