Hi Glen. Thanks a bunch. The spread between the quakes bothers me. The quakes could have occurred by attrition alone. This would mean that they could have occurred whether the lake was low or high.

However there is the problem with the Salton Sea. It doesn’t come anywhere near the volume of the previous lake and were now at 326 years since the last quake. That appears to be the longest interval between quakes, but because our base is so small we don’t know if the interval between the previous quakes was the norm, or an unusual short interval.

There have been some pretty strong quakes in the area in the recent past, but they don’t appear to have been anywhere near equal to some of those in the past, or the one that is expected. They may be nothing more then the weak links in the system and when we run out of weak links we will have the “big one.”

I have to wonder that since the 1857 rupture made it around the “big bend” is there a chance of the rupture from the Coachella Valley segment making it around the “big bend” all the way to Cholame? Take Care…Don in creepy town