Posted by Don in Hollister on February 17, 2006 at 22:24:58:
Hi Cal. Jim has made a prediction for the Bay Area every month for the last 30 years for a quake between M=3.5 and M=6.0. The only quake anyone is going to be really concerned about are quakes that cause damage. How many quakes have occurred in that time period that was capable of causing damage and or death? Only two. Two quakes have occurred in the 30 some years of making a prediction for one every month. Lots of false alarms there. Take Care…Don in creepy town catalog=ANSS start_time=1969/01/01,00:00:00 end_time=2006/02/18,06:12:02 minimum_magnitude=6.0 maximum_magnitude=10 event_type=E delta=0 km to 224 km from (37.748,-122.161) Date Time Lat Lon Depth Mag Magt Nst Gap Clo RMS SRC Event ID ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1984/04/24 21:15:18.76 37.3097 -121.6788 8.53 6.20 ML 98 26 6 0.06 NC 17204 1989/10/18 00:04:15.20 37.0362 -121.8802 17.29 7.00 ML 79 91 1 0.08 NC 216859
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