Methodology Eval Request-Roger Hunter
Posted by glen on December 04, 2005 at 21:46:03:

Hello Roger,

Could you comment on the numbers I have here? I have tried to mathematically divide the average synodic lunar phases into equal portions. I think this is the only way to run syzygy studies. Significant digits can be a problem, because I found one quake in Utah that was 3 hours "out". Have I missed anything math wise as you can see? I could really care less about the results.

Thanks, as always,
glen

>The methodology for evaluation uses the average synodic period of lunar phase, which is 29.531 days. This phase is then divided into four equal
time periods, 2 being syzygial and 2 non-syzygial. Each of these equal periods is then divided by 2, and a center point that represents the
syzygial occurence is then placed at the center of the 2 equal portions. I call this a standing flag methodology. I then see if any of the seismic events fall into the syzygial portion. Here's the math;

29.531 / 4 = 7.382 days. 7.382 days / 2 = 3.69 days. So a quake must hit within 3.69 days of syzygy to count as a hit. But I really need hours and minutes, because many times this is what determines a hit or miss. So I multiply 3.69 days by 24 to get hours, thus 88.56 hours. A quake must hit within 88.56 hours. 88.56 hours is equal to 88 hours and 33.6 minutes. (One significant digit, for clarity, and rapid research processes)


Follow Ups:
     ● Re: Methodology Eval Request-Roger Hunter - Roger Hunter  22:57:36 - 12/4/2005  (31515)  (1)
        ● Re: Methodology Eval Request-Roger Hunter - glen  00:14:40 - 12/5/2005  (31517)  (1)
           ● Re: Methodology Eval Request-Roger Hunter - Roger Hunter  07:46:43 - 12/5/2005  (31524)  (0)
     ● Post Script to Roger - glen  22:35:49 - 12/4/2005  (31514)  (0)