Dennis,

Good points. The only problem is if a prediction gets issued, here or somewhere, it may be perfectly clear to us, however, those that judge such matters may find it wholely unacceptable.

For instance, you know how often an earthquake is registered at a certain Richter Scale measurement. Then in time it is adjusted, most often downward, then as much as years later, they decide the epicenter was somewhere else. So a hit today, might not be two days from now, or four years from now. Ambiguous indeed!

Your triangulation reminds me of something I saw about a year plus ago. I kept watching the seismograph from SJB and it had these fuzzy lines and at the same time I was keeping an eye on the seismo that reads for Pasadena. These are two entirely different systems, but what both of them told me was that Mammoth was having harmonic tremors. No one would believe me. But the one thing that confirmed it for me was looking at the readings for Mt. Pinatubo. In them, in the early stages before the eruption process began, the same fuzzy lines occured. They come in a pattern and if you watch carefully, you can predict when the earthquakes will arrive. The outcome was, a year after I said they were harmonic tremors, the USGS filed a paper and said the same. Good observations do make a difference.

Did you ever notice that just about all of the theory writers are people with good observation skills. They tend to notice things other people miss. Of course there are comedians who do the same, like Seinfeld. He takes notice of everyday people eccentricities. I do as well. One of my favorite things is to imitate how people walk. I'm rather good at it and often get some outstanding laughs, but everyone says, I've got it down to a science in the imitation process.

Of late something truly different has occured in the garden at work. Theres a little drain hole in the new window frame. I saw bees gathering nesting materials and going into this hole. They haven't stopped yet. But what an interesting thing to see. So far, I haven't found anyone who has ever heard of this before. But perhaps I should ask someone who specializes in bee behavior and see if it means anything. I'm curious to know.

Life is indeed mysterious in both human and animal behavior. As they say, to the victors go the spoils and if anyone's been around very long they know in earthquake prediction whether its a subject of much conversation or not, there are a few out there who wish to be first. I didn't understand what this was all about for a good long while and then upon reading a paper by two gents in LA, finally caught on.

Pat