Petra;

I wasn't ignoring you, I was away for a week. Wife's family reunions. In Kansas. In July.

The odds are 1 in 10 for a 7 day window in a 70 day period because a quake on any of those days would be a hit. Otherwise you might claim the hour or minute.

Suppose you had a 70 day window? Guaranteed hit!

Predict using my skill? What skill? I have no idea how to predict a quake.

Roger