Posted by Canie on June 12, 2005 at 08:57:17:
Here's the aftershock warning - check out the new probability map for changes.. MAINSHOCK - Magnitude : 5.5 Ml Time : 12 Jun 2005 08:41:46 AM PDT : 12 Jun 2005 15:41:46 UTC Coordinates : 33 deg. 31.91 min. N, 116 deg. 34.40 min. W 6 mi. ( 9 km) ESE of Anza, CA 20 mi. ( 32 km) S of Palm Springs, CA Event ID : 14151344 STRONG AFTERSHOCKS (Magnitude 5 and larger) - At this time (immediately after the mainshock) the probability of a strong and possibly damaging aftershock IN THE NEXT 7 DAYS is approximately 20 PERCENT.
EARTHQUAKES LARGER THAN THE MAINSHOCK - Most likely, the recent mainshock will be the largest in the sequence. However, there is a small chance (APPROXIMATELY 5 TO 10 PERCENT) of an earthquake equal to or larger than this mainshock in the next 7 days.
WEAK AFTERSHOCKS (Magnitude 3 to 5) - In addition, approximately 5 to 25 SMALL AFTERSHOCKS are expected in the same 7-DAY PERIOD and may be felt locally.
This probability report is based on the statistics of aftershocks typical for California. This is not an exact prediction, but only a rough guide to expected aftershock activity. This probability report may be revised as more information becomes available.
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