Re: Roger, John? Petra record?
Posted by Roger Hunter on January 12, 2005 at 13:56:29:

Chris, Petra;

> OK...Roger, John, Petra preducted quakes and in the last year she has had some hits and Roger evaluated that (?4 of 6?) were way better than chance. What should be hert next step? My suggestion would to very carefully make predictions on this page for the next year....only predict things she is most sure of. Be specific about the prediction (lat, long, nearest town, where that town is in the state/world). Then, maybe 2 weeks after each prediction, repost the prediction with a self-evaluation (with the nearest quake). Then, after a year, have Roger evaluate the record. If it is still good.....one of us (John, me(...see if a Physicist like the ones at UCSB working on quakes would be interested in looking into this (I think the UCSB Physicists are Langon and Calson or something like that...).

Those are all good suggestions Chris but first and foremost we need a repository for her predictions, one which keeps them all together and cannot be altered. I'm not about to go thru a year's worth of archives looking for them. One was started here but died out somewhere along the way.

And they should all be in the same format; center point and radius or lat-lon box plus date and mag. range.

Roger


Follow Ups:
     ● RogerPetra record? - chris in suburbia  09:01:21 - 1/13/2005  (24381)  (1)
        ● Re: RogerPetra record? - Roger Hunter  09:20:59 - 1/13/2005  (24382)  (0)