Hey Dyan,

This is an odd area up here. Between the tectonic and the volcanics it gets rather complicated. We seem to have more multiples in events than some other areas which can make it difficult to forecast.

My uptake would be that if we had something around a 5 it wouldn't surprise me, or we could keep having these 4's with aftershocks. The fault itself is short, so the chances of it providing a big slip for a very large earthquake are rather slim. As to whether or not it has any affect on the Rodgers Creek, it is possible, but probably not very likely. I guess it would depend on whether or not the RCF is sitting on the edge or firmly locked in place.

Since Bolinas it seems things are changing up this way, but as to how far its going to go, right now its anyones guess.

Pat