EQF;

> To evaluate such a prediction you need to compare it with others that I might have made to see if it was just random chance or a significant forecast. And if you did that you would discover that it was about the only public forecast I have ever made for that area, or for any area for that matter. And that means that it is highly significant, nor random chance.

No it doesn't. You have no basis for saying anything about your significance.

Roger