Earth and Sun Digest 2004/06/03 PANDORA'S BOX?
Posted by Canie on June 04, 2004 at 10:18:53:

The Past Week Ticker

M24, T25, W26, Th27, F28/6.3M, Sa29/6.5M, Su30, M31, T01, W02, Th03


Moon for June 2004 per Astronomy Magazine in EDT

3 full moon, 3 perigee, 9 last quarter, 17 new moon, 17 apogee, 20 summer solstice, 25 first quarter

TODAY the moon is at perigee with full moon (221,983 miles near), 3 June.

The perigee for June is the year's closest; the apogee, the farthest.



Earth and Sun Digest for June 3, 2004


...Week at a Glance (with time ticking)

PANDORA'S BOX?
(Source data can change without notice or correction.)


California and Nevada earthquakes in past week--388; one quake of 4M or greater: 6/03 4.5M NORTHERN CALIFORNIA

compare with http://quake.wr.usgs.gov/recenteqs/latest.htm on map left lower corner

Global Earthquakes of 5.0 to 5.9M thru Wednesday--23 (Jap-5, SoPac-2); two 6M quakes: 5/29 6.5M OFF EAST COAST OF HONSHU, JAPAN, 5/28 6.3M NORTHERN IRAN

Earthquake data are from U.S. Geological Survey tables at http://neic.usgs.gov/neis/bulletin/bulletin.html .

Volcanic ash near Jet Stream (at 5 mi/8 km)--none reported

Ash data are from the weekly GVN/USGS report at

http://www.volcano.si.edu/reports/usgs/ Check dates.


Sunspot No. high and low--76 on 1 June from 52 on 28 May

Largest and smallest daily total area of sunspots--630 on 29 May to 160 on 2 June (100 =Size of Earth)

X-Class Solar Flares: none; last M-Class flares (5+/day) 5 on 27 October (Ticker has fewer MC.)

(See http://www.sel.noaa.gov/today.html )

Planetary Geomagnetic Indices: high of 16 on 1 June; last set of five or more Kp's of 4 (or more) per 24 hours: 3-6 April

Asteroid Nearest Earth in 2004: 2004 FH on 18 March by 0.125 LD



Recent Volcanic Eruptions: TWO GROUPINGS


Northern Ash and Gas Eruptions
north of latitude 23°N.



KIKAI [SATSUMA-IWO-JIMA] Ryukyu Islands, Japan 30.78°N, 130.28°E; summit elev. 717 m
eruption on 1 June at 0430 to an unknown height


SHISHALDIN Unimak Island, Aleutian Islands, USA 54.75°N, 163.97°W; summit elev. 2,857 m

seismic unrest during 21-28 May, but views of the volcano obscured


SHIVELUCH Kamchatka Peninsula, Russia 56.653°N, 161.360°E; summit elev. 2,283 m

on 21 May pyroclastic flows and partial destruction of the lava dome, during 21-28 May gas-and-steam plumes to ~4 km


VENIAMINOF Alaska Peninsula, USA 56.17°N, 159.38°W; summit elev. 2,507 m

during 21-28 May volcanic activity generally lower than during the previous week, but ash bursts continuing, on video weak steaming and low ash bursts not rising above the active cone (2,156 m)



Equatorial Ash and Gas Eruptions

at less than 23°N or S


ANATAHAN Mariana Islands, central Pacific Ocean 16.35°N, 145.67°E; summit elev. 788 m

during 26 May to 1 June every few minutes explosions throwing volcanic material hundreds of meters out of the crater, steam and ash likely to a few hundred meters


BAGANA Bougainville Island, Papua New Guinea 6.14°S, 155.19°E; summit elev. 1,750 m

an ash plume visible on satellite imagery during 26-27 May to a height of ~3 km


COLIMA western México 19.514°N,103.62°W; summit elev. ~3,850 m

during late May an average of two ash-containing explosions per day less than 5.8 km


DUKONO Halmahera, Indonesia 1.70°N, 127.87°E; summit elev. 1,185 m

during 26-31 May occasional plumes visible on satellite imagery at a height of ~3 km


FUEGO Guatemala 14.47°N, 90.88°W; summit elev. 3,763 m

during 31 May to 1 June several explosions producing ash plumes, the highest rising plume to ~5.3 km on 31 May


KILAUEA Hawaii, USA 19.43°N, 155.29°W; summit elev. 1,222 m

Kilauea's Banana lava flow into the sea on 30 May near the eastern end of the Wilipe`a lava delta, the first time lava to the sea since July 2003


NYAMURAGIRA Democratic Republic of the Congo 1.408°S, 29.20°E; summit elev. 3,058 m

during 26 May to 1 June weak but steady emissions from Nyamuragira and neighboring Nyiragongo (~13 km SE from Nyamuragira), ash falling within a radius of 60 km of both volcanoes


NYIRAGONGO Democratic Republic of the Congo 1.52°S, 29.25°E; summit elev. 3,469 m

same as for NYAMURAGIRA


POPOCATÉPETL Mexico 19.02°N, 98.62°W; summit elev. 5,426 m

on 26 May at 1243 a small emission steam, gas, and small amounts of ash in a plume to a height of ~6.9 km


SANTA MARÍA Guatemala 14.756°N 91.552°W; summit elev. 3,772 m

during 31 May to 1 June weak-to-moderate explosions with gas-and-ash plumes to ~5.3 km


SOUFRIÈRE HILLS Montserrat, West Indies 16.72°N, 62.18°W; summit elev. 1,052 m

volcanic activity at low levels during 21-28 May, mudflows associated with the heavy rain of 21 May, the sulfur-dioxide flux variable between about 225 and 920 tons per day.


TUNGURAHUA Ecuador 1.47°S, 78.44°W; summit elev. 5,023 m

during 26-31 May small-to-moderate emissions of steam, gas, and ash, on 1 June a steam and ash plume to 7 km



All ash elevations are in km above sea level (a.s.l.) and times are converted to UTC. 




EARTH
FIVE Index of Global earthquakes of 5.0 magnitude or greater
DATE-(UTC)-TIME    LAT  LON    DEP   MAG  Q  COMMENTS
yy/mm/dd hh:mm:ss  deg. deg.   km 
READ UP for latest report.
04/06/02  20:47:564.74N32.54W10.0    5.4CENTRAL MID-ATLANTIC RIDGE
04/06/02  08:50:3732.86S179.54W43.1  5.9SOUTH OF KERMADEC ISLANDS
04/06/02  04:38:476.18S103.86E39.2   5.5SOUTHWEST OF SUMATRA, INDONESIA
04/06/01  20:47:309.07S67.37E10.0    5.1MID-INDIAN RIDGE
04/06/01  17:04:5432.05S68.04W37.3   5.5MENDOZA PROVINCE, ARGENTINA
04/06/01  15:52:390.73N79.66W23.7    5.2NEAR COAST OF ECUADOR
04/06/01  03:08:5234.49N141.34E45.0  5.0OFF EAST COAST OF HONSHU, JAPAN
04/05/31  02:56:5446.44N149.51E171.7 5.2KURIL ISLANDS
04/05/31  02:19:3125.41N126.52E45.6  5.0RYUKYU ISLANDS, JAPAN
04/05/30  21:11:3231.06S177.15W57.4  5.9KERMADEC ISLANDS REGION
04/05/30  17:14:402.02N126.88E10.1   5.2MOLUCCA SEA
04/05/30  16:43:5717.17S70.10W111.1  5.3NEAR COAST OF PERU
04/05/30  11:03:2661.08N152.22W128.0 5.1SOUTHERN ALASKA
04/05/30  10:39:5244.26N147.49E75.9  5.2KURIL ISLANDS
04/05/30  02:52:1247.31N142.10E13.5  5.1SAKHALIN, RUSSIA
04/05/30  01:55:584.38N128.23E41.9   5.2NORTH OF HALMAHERA, INDONESIA
04/05/29  20:56:1334.30N141.33E38.3  6.5OFF EAST COAST OF HONSHU, JAPAN
04/05/29  10:14:2636.67N129.94E13.1  5.3SOUTH KOREA
04/05/28  19:06:0212.47N141.59E29.0  5.0MARIANA ISLANDS REGION
04/05/28  12:38:4636.28N51.57E28.3   6.3NORTHERN IRAN
04/05/27  20:49:2752.69S18.72E10.0   5.4SOUTHWEST OF AFRICA
04/05/27  15:11:3714.16S14.42W10.0   5.5SOUTHERN MID-ATLANTIC RIDGE
04/05/27  10:10:346.59N126.47E48.8   5.7MINDANAO, PHILIPPINES
04/05/27  03:52:0714.67N54.84E10.0   5.0OWEN FRACTURE ZONE REGION
04/05/27  02:18:5656.78S147.64E10.0  5.0WEST OF MACQUARIE ISLAND
United States Quakes this past week 
with quakes possibly felt in U.S. from nearby countries:  
04/06/03  08:54:4639.33N120.01W5.8   4.5NORTHERN CALIFORNIA
04/06/02  15:24:5852.25N170.48W39.9  4.4FOX ISLANDS, ALEUTIAN ISLANDS
04/06/01  14:36:1434.29N116.88W5.5   3.1SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA
04/06/01  11:49:3454.11N163.20W35.0  4.6UNIMAK ISLAND REGION, ALASKA
04/05/31  03:27:4336.93N104.83W5.0   3.3NEW MEXICO
04/05/31  02:19:4639.74N111.97W1.1   2.8UTAH
04/05/30  11:03:2661.08N152.22W128.0 5.1SOUTHERN ALASKA
04/05/28  19:06:0212.47N141.59E29.0  5.0MARIANA ISLANDS REGION
04/05/28  11:22:5551.25N179.56E41.7  3.9RAT ISLANDS, ALEUTIAN ISLANDS
04/05/28  05:07:5760.40N150.82W35.0  4.1KENAI PENINSULA, ALASKA
04/05/28  01:41:1062.78N150.65W82.0  3.8CENTRAL ALASKA

YEARS OF MONTHLY COUNTS of Earthquakes of 6 or greater Magnitude
in the World[/b], per USGS/NEIC Preliminary Global Report
 YEAR:   93  94  95  96  97  98  99  00  01  02  03  04
March     0   2   8  13   5   7   8   5   5  10  15  10
April     0  12  17   4   9   6   8   3   9   7   8  17
May       3  15  17   8   9   6   9   5   8   7  16   7
June      1  11  12  12   3   3   3  22  10  14  12 with one 7M
YR total 19 110 160 109  76  63 103 109 112 133 145 (58)
SUN
Sunspot numbers for the past week:
5/26  27  28  29  30  31 1/1   2  
  89  62  52  57  64  54  76  63
Planetary geomagnetic A Indices for same period 
   6   6   9  14  13  14  16  11



Solar data from http://www.sec.noaa.gov/


SPECIAL NOTE:


Persistent Mild Solar Wind Inhibits Quakes of 6 or Greater Magnitude?


Despite the Full Moon and the Perigee being on the same date, and despite the Perigee being the closest point of the Moon for 2004, the week surrounding the perigee (so far) has seen no earthquakes of 6M or greater. Here is the record of three-hourly Kp values and biggest quakes for that 24 hour (UTC) period:

2004 05 27     6  1 1 3 2 2 2 2 1  10:10:34 5.7M MINDANAO, PHILIPPINES
2004 05 28     9  2 0 1 2 3 3 3 3  12:38:46 6.3M NORTHERN IRAN
2004 05 29    14  3 3 3 4 3 3 2 3  20:56:13 6.6M HONSHU, JAPAN
2004 05 30    13  3 2 1 4 3 3 3 4  21:11:32 5.9M KERMADEC ISLANDS 
2004 05 31    14  4 2 3 3 3 3 3 2  02:56:54 5.2M KURIL ISLANDS
2004 06 01    16  3 3 4 3 3 3 3 3  17:04:54 5.5M ARGENTINA
2004 06 02    11  3 2 2 3 3 2 3 3  08:50:37 5.9M KERMADEC ISLANDS
  Perigee
2004 06 03    -1  3 3 3 1-1-1-1-1



The 6.6M quake on 29 May coincided with the Kp of 2, as did the 5.9M on 2 June, suggesting that when the cap is off, big quakes may come.

The other recently seen possibility is that the expected big quakes may be delayed a week. Electrically generated phenomena are also seen in the air when earthquakes occur (per Allison Rhoden), and Levy and Salvadori record, "The range of electromagnetism is also infinite, and electromagnetic force is manifest in the generation of electricity."


Comments or questions are welcome.


Donald J. Boon, editor,

Follow Ups:
     ● Re: Earth and Sun Digest 2004/06/03 PANDORA'S BOX? - Robert Baum  14:16:59 - 6/6/2004  (21774)  (2)
        ● Re: Earth and Sun Digest 2004/06/03 PANDORA'S BOX? - chris in suburbia  04:38:14 - 6/9/2004  (21791)  (0)
        ● Re: Earth and Sun Digest 2004/06/03 PANDORA'S BOX? - Canie  22:22:18 - 6/6/2004  (21778)  (0)
     ● Re: Earth and Sun Digest 2004/06/03 PANDORA'S BOX? - chris in suburbia  05:34:25 - 6/5/2004  (21768)  (1)
        ● Re: Earth and Sun Digest 2004/06/03 PANDORA'S BOX? - Roger Hunter  06:33:26 - 6/5/2004  (21769)  (0)