Posted by Dennis Gentry in Santa Clarita on January 10, 2000 at 21:38:32:
Appears that this prediction was a miss. The Cloverdale M4.3 was within the time and magnitude parameters, but way off base distance wise. It was 390 miles from the posted location where the prediction required 150 miles What I'm getting from all of this is that these secondary indicators aren't reliable enough for posting predictions with a low probability of success. They are good for all M3.0+ events but in order to be successful, the coverage area needs to be a least 500 miles, and larger (remember the Wyoming/Idaho hits?) which is way to big of an area for M3+ events. So I guess I'll have to figure out something else as to how to better interpret these secondary signals. Just for informational purposes, I was receiving more of the same type of signals this evening. Dennis
|