Re: Seismic activity expected
Posted by EQF on December 17, 2003 at 10:15:40:

The basic concepts here are not really that complex. What you should do it look at the following Web pages:

http://www.freewebz.com/eq-forecasting/133.html

http://www.freewebz.com/eq-forecasting/132.html

Those are lists of the times when some of the signals that I work with were detected. They are believed to be electromagnetic in nature and appear to be linked with fault zone activities, probably solar and geomagnetic storms, and perhaps radio waves down in the 1 cycle per second range.

Those signals appear to be doing a good job of pointing to approaching earthquakes. And I believe that the data processing routines I have developed are also doing a good job of showing which earthquake were responsible for which signals after the earthquakes have occurred. The goal is to get the procedures working sufficiently well that they accurately point to the location of the earthquake before it occurs.

At the moment, much of the research effort is being spent on trying to determine what phenomena are controlling the delay time intervals between the warning signals and the earthquakes. They can range from a few hours to months. And it is difficult to generate timely forecasts when you cannot reliably tell what the delay time is going to be. That appears to be a major problem for forecasters around the world.

Follow Ups:
     ● Re: Seismic activity expected - Roger Hunter  11:13:12 - 12/17/2003  (20469)  (1)
        ● Re: Seismic activity expected - EQF  06:41:41 - 12/18/2003  (20483)  (1)
           ● can't run until you can walk - John Vidale  08:53:23 - 12/18/2003  (20484)  (1)
              ● Try considering a different project - EQF  14:49:10 - 12/18/2003  (20492)  (1)
                 ● just posting to agree with Roger and Chris - John Vidale  21:56:01 - 12/18/2003  (20504)  (1)
                    ● Re: just posting to agree with Roger and Chris - Don in Hollister  22:18:58 - 12/18/2003  (20505)  (0)