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Earth and Sun Digest 2003/11/06 Notated Edition; X28 Class Flare
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Posted by Donald Boon on November 06, 2003 at 14:56:17:
The Day-Date-Moon Ticker
The Day-Date-Moon Ticker
M27/MC(5),V9, T28/XC,6.0M, W29/GS189,XC,MC(2), Th30/GS162,MC(2), F31/GS93,MC(2),7.0M, Sa01/MC(3), Su02/MC(2),6.4M,V8, M03/(1), T04/GS31,MC(3), W05/MC(2), Th06/6.6M
Explanatory Notes
1. The Ticker above is chronological, with symbols for day, date, moon phase and/or distance. After the / are earthquakes(7.0M), volcanoes(V8), geomagnetic storms(GS31), and solar flares(XC and MC). These correspond to the data below.
2. Following ..at a Glance is a short explanation in italics of subject and its data.
3. Each table listing basic data has a source with current data and many resources. This Digest breaks down the basic NEIC data into areas of interest, so the reference URL is after the box used to keep data aligned.
Earth and Sun Digest for November 6, 2003
...at a Glance (with time ticking)
(Source data can change without notice or correction.)
BOON'S FIVE RULE: FIVE EARTHQUAKES OF FIVE.X MAGNITUDE IN FIVE DAYS CAN CAUSE A VOLCANO TO ERUPT ASH AND/OR GAS UP FIVE MILES.
This "rule" was formulated based on a personal study of Japanese earthquakes and volcanoes. It allows a sense of proportion with seismic and volcanic data and their interaction with limited predicting of eruptions and weather.
Earthquakes of 5.0 to 5.9M thru Wednesday--13 (J-5, SP-2);
To compare weekly changes only 5.x quakes are counted; J is Japanese; SP is South Pacific
three quakes of 6M or greater: 11/06 6.6M VANUATU ISLANDS, 11/02 6.4M OFF W. COAST OF S. ISLAND, N.Z., 10/31 7.0OFF THE EAST COAST OF HONSHU, JAPAN
This count is of all presented in this Digest. Any weekly data may overlap and is noted.
California and Nevada earthquakes in past week--213; none of 4M or greater
USGS has on the Internet a multilayered map of the week past from this moment, and a running total of these quakes is in the lower left corner. See also the United States table.
Volcanic ash over 5 mi (8 km)--Ecuador
Ash affects weather when in the Jet Stream. The height is arbitrary but convenient, and was picked using the FIVE Rule.
Sunspot No. high and low--293 on 30 October to 32 on 5 November
Daily sunspot counts are available from NOAA. Giving high and low is a quick sense of trends.
Smallest to largest daily total area of sunspots--130 on 5 November from 5690 on 30 October
Daily areas are given of sunspots counted; 100 is the area of Planet Earth.
X-Class Solar Flares: one on 2, two on 3, and one on 4 November; last M-Class flares (5+/day) 5 on 27 October (see ticker for fewer MC)
Solar flares pose health risks to astronauts, with X-Class the most injurious, M-Class are next. The MC listing here tries to document duration of exposure daily.
Planetary Geomagnetic Indices: high of 162 on 30 October; last set of five or more Kp's of 4 or more per 24 hours: 28 through 31 October with 1 November
When coronal mass ejections from a solar flare reach Planet Earth, they induce atmospheric geomagnetic changes that bring the nightly Aurora Borealis, and sometimes drastic changes like disabling satellites and power grids. A Kp value of 4 is a borderline threshhold for this activity, and the Digest also tracks how long such lower levels last.
Moon for November per Astronomy Magazine
1 first quarter, 8 full, 10 apogee, 16 last quarter, 23 both new and perigee
The moon is at apogee (252,464 miles far) on 10 November.
This section highlights the events of the moon, especially when the moon is at its near and far points
Recent Volcanic Eruptions
These notes are compressed using the FIVE Rule, and highlighted if one or more eruptions are over 8 km.
COLIMA western México 19.514°N,103.62°W; summit elev. ~3,850 m
on 30 October two small eruptions that consisted of mostly steam and some ash, the plumes to about 7.3 km
DUKONO Halmahera, Indonesia 1.70°N, 127.87°E; summit elev. 1,185 m
ash explosions during October with low-level plumes
GAMALAMA Halmahera, Indonesia 0.80°N, 127.325°E; summit elev. 1,715 m
during 6-12 October gas emissions rose to 1.8 km
KARYMSKY Kamchatka Peninsula, Russia 54.05°N, 159.43°E; summit elev. 1,536 m
during 24-31 October seismic data indicating possible ash-and-gas explosions to 4 km
KILAUEA Hawaii, USA 19.43°N, 155.29°W; summit elev. 1,222 m
during 29 October to 3 November areas of surface lava visible upslope of coastal
flat
KLIUCHEVSKOI Kamchatka Peninsula, Russia 56.06°N, 160.64°E; summit elev. 4,835 m
during 24-31 October gas plumes to ~5.5 km
LEWOTOBI Lesser Sunda Islands, Indonesia 8.53°S, 122.78°E; summit elev. 1,703 m
during 13-19 October only gas emitted to low levels
SANTA MARÍA Guatemala 14.756°N 91.552°W; summit elev. 3,772 m
on 30 October three small collapses and moderate-to-weak explosions, on 31 October low-level ash plumes visible on satellite imagery
SEMERU Java, Indonesia 8.11°S, 112.92°E; summit elev. 3,676 m
during October ash explosions producing low-level plumes
SOUFRIÈRE HILLS Montserrat, West Indies 16.72°N, 62.18°W; summit elev. 1,052 m
on 1 November a low-level plume of re-suspended ash visible on satellite imagery
TUNGURAHUA Ecuador 1.47°S, 78.44°W; summit elev. 5,023 m
during 29 October to 4 November small-to-moderate eruptions of steam, gas, and ash, on 2 November a plume to ~8 km
Ash data is summarized from the weekly GVN/USGS report at
http://www.volcano.si.edu/reports/usgs/
All ash elevations are in km above sea level (a.s.l.).
The earthquake data that follows are taken from U.S. Geological Survey tables available through http://neic.usgs.gov/neis/bulletin/bulletin.html .
EARTH
FIVE Index of Global earthquakes of 5.0 magnitude or greater
DATE-(UTC)-TIME LAT LON DEP MAG Q COMMENTS
yy/mm/dd hh:mm:ss deg. deg. km
READ UP for latest report.
03/11/06 10:38:0419.37S168.89E112.0 6.6VANUATU ISLANDS
03/11/06 08:14:572.00N126.93E10.0 5.9MOLUCCA SEA
03/11/05 07:58:5127.53N56.14E33.0 5.2SOUTHERN IRAN
03/11/05 00:58:514.97N77.75W33.0 5.9NEAR WEST COAST OF COLOMBIA
03/11/04 18:45:354.05S102.54E33.0 5.4SOUTHERN SUMATRA, INDONESIA
03/11/03 07:11:3737.51N142.26E33.0 5.1OFF THE EAST COAST OF HONSHU, JAPAN
03/11/02 13:35:3044.55N150.26E33.0 5.2EAST OF THE KURIL ISLANDS
03/11/02 11:24:2836.77S179.31E10.0 5.0OFF EAST COAST OF THE NORTH ISLAND, N.Z.
03/11/02 05:32:1645.30S166.24E10.0 6.4OFF W. COAST OF S. ISLAND, N.Z.
03/11/02 02:58:1437.78N143.05E10.0 5.4OFF EAST COAST OF HONSHU, JAPAN
03/11/01 13:10:0837.84N143.03E10.0 5.9OFF EAST COAST OF HONSHU, JAPAN
03/11/01 00:26:5737.93N143.04E10.0 5.2OFF EAST COAST OF HONSHU, JAPAN
03/10/31 14:15:0938.66N139.80E152.9 5.2NEAR WEST COAST OF HONSHU, JAPAN
03/10/31 01:06:2837.82N142.60E10.0 7.0OFF THE EAST COAST OF HONSHU, JAPAN
03/10/30 15:22:2119.79N95.80E33.0 5.4MYANMAR
03/10/30 06:44:073.63S151.13E33.0 5.1NEW IRELAND REGION, PAPUA NEW GUINEA
03/10/30 06:00:4960.56S25.18W33.0 5.9SOUTH SANDWICH ISLANDS REGION
United States Quakes this past week
with quakes that might be felt:
03/11/06 10:59:1239.27N106.70W5.0 2.5COLORADO
03/11/05 22:44:0034.17N117.73W5.7 2.8GREATER LOS ANGELES AREA, CA.
03/11/04 13:37:3140.25N75.88W1.0 2.4PENNSYLVANIA
03/11/03 20:46:0963.33N151.22W15.0 3.8CENTRAL ALASKA
03/11/03 10:00:5643.51N126.70W10.0 3.7OFF COAST OF OREGON
03/11/02 19:27:0264.02N147.67W6.0 4.0CENTRAL ALASKA
03/11/02 03:59:1334.17N117.41W11.7 3.3GREATER LOS ANGELES AREA, CALIFORNIA
03/11/02 03:58:5634.16N117.42W12.3 2.6GREATER LOS ANGELES AREA, CALIFORNIA
03/11/01 14:52:3535.13N118.94W15.1 3.3CENTRAL CALIFORNIA
03/10/31 10:04:2738.80N122.78W5.0 2.9NORTHERN CALIFORNIA
03/10/31 06:32:3060.16N141.13W5.0 3.6SOUTHEASTERN ALASKA
03/10/31 06:27:4919.51N64.75W24.9 3.7VIRGIN ISLANDS
03/10/31 01:07:1834.06N118.83W2.1 3.0GREATER LOS ANGELES AREA, CALIFORNIA
03/10/30 22:44:4457.94N156.32W140.0 3.5ALASKA PENINSULA
03/10/30 22:34:1463.53N147.31W1.0 3.2CENTRAL ALASKA
03/10/30 20:47:2363.73N147.52W15.0 3.4CENTRAL ALASKA
03/10/30 13:46:3919.28N155.48W10.7 3.8HAWAII
03/10/30 02:49:0361.93N147.77W20.0 3.5SOUTHERN ALASKA
03/10/30 00:07:2862.01N148.12W32.0 3.9CENTRAL ALASKA
MEDITERRANEAN REGION, Continued
03/11/05 07:58:5127.53N56.14E33.0 5.2SOUTHERN IRAN
03/10/31 08:21:1244.13N20.03E10.0 3.0SERBIA, SERBIA AND MONTENEGRO
03/10/31 07:08:2144.43N6.78E5.0 2.5FRANCE
03/10/31 05:03:3744.13N19.99E10.0 3.2SERBIA, SERBIA AND MONTENEGRO
03/10/31 02:33:1038.33N21.82E16.0 4.0GREECE
03/10/31 00:14:2037.66N21.15E16.0 3.6SOUTHERN GREECE
Late listing
03/10/16 22:44:3936.50N23.09E17.0 4.3SOUTHERN GREECE
03/10/28 07:00:3338.27N20.23E14.0 3.9GREECE
03/10/24 20:47:1139.95N50.29E0.0 4.2CASPIAN SEA, OFFSHORE AZERBAIJAN
Monthly Summary of Earthquakes of 6 or greater Magnitude
in the World, per USGS/NEIC Preliminary Global Report
These figures are offered to assess trends, with the latest year marking quakes of 7M or greater. Figures with () are incomplete. This is a project by volunteers from Prodigy.
YEAR: 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03
May 3 15 17 8 9 6 9 5 8 7 16 with two 7M's
June 1 11 12 12 3 3 3 22 10 14 12 with one 7M
July 2 10 12 7 5 9 8 9 10 5 15 with one 7M
August 2 14 16 6 7 8 9 12 8 12 8 with two 7M's
September4 8 8 9 7 4 12 7 10 13 18 with two 7M's, one 8M
October 4 12 21 9 6 3 4 8 11 21 11 with one 7M
November 0 7 10 6 7 4 15 15 10 11 with three 7M's (2)
Yr total 19 110 160 109 76 63 103 109 112 133 (117)
SUN
Sunspot numbers for the past week:
10/29 30 31 01 02 03 04 05
330 293 266 277 174 76 79 32
Planetary geomagnetic A Indices for same period
189 162 93 21 18 10 31 9
Solar data from http://www.sec.noaa.gov/
SPECIAL NOTE
From www.spaceweather.com today:
quote:
SUPERFLARE: Astronomers won't soon forget Nov. 4th, 2003--the day of the biggest explosion ever recorded in our solar system. The blast originated from giant sunspot 486, and on the Richter scale of solar flares, it measured X28. Smaller flares in the past have caused power outages and widespread auroras. The Nov. 4th explosion was not directed squarely toward Earth, and its effects so far have been relatively minimal. Even so, it was a flare to remember.
Does the sun affect earthquakes and volcanic eruptions like the moon does? There is a biblical relationship, so the Digest follows the sun. With the largest sunspot recorded, one has to wonder about a relationship with global warming, which also bears on earthquakes, etc.
Comments and questions are always welcome.
Donald J. Boon, editor,
donaldboon@comcast.net
Follow Ups:
● Re: Earth and Sun Digest 2003/11/06 Notated Edition; X28 Class Flare - Donald Boon 15:02:07 - 11/6/2003 (20013) (1)
● Re: Earth and Sun Digest 2003/11/06 Notated Edition; X28 Class Flare - Donald Boon 09:47:45 - 11/7/2003 (20016) (1)
● Re: Lunar Eclipse Nov. 8 After Sunset - Donald Boon 09:51:38 - 11/7/2003 (20018) (0)
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