Dennis,
I firmly believe that your predictions merely need fine-tuning. As I tell my students, this is geological time, which is something that we cannot correctly judge. So you are a little off on the timing - you make mistakes before you get it right. Anyway, think about the rising floors in the classroom adjacent to the San Gabriel. This is a display of pressure that is built up, we just cannot exactly and correctly determine that minute - yet1 There is a wonderful novel called "Richter 10" by Arthur C. Clarke and Mike McQuay that discusses exacting earthquake prediction that is fascinating.Don't leave because we need you and everyone else brave enough to speculate and put their predictions out there. It is about saving lives. Beth