Hi all, creed is necessary to little make of order a care forecast # 14. Thanks to 2cents for congratulations, but accepting them I would feel myself like a fox. The misunderstanding is been born why in Italy we are usual to date indicating the day before, then the month and finally the year, often it succeeds that in the translate we fall in error exchanging the day with the month. The exact temporal window of the forecast #14 goes from the 27 June to the 07 July, as very it is defined in the bulletin of my situated one (www.previsioni.mainpage.net), the 06 that defines June has induced to me in error, adding usuals 10 days I have transcribed: from 06 to 16. However the formal forecast in red I would have made it the 25 around June.

However, if just 2cents it is in vein of congratulations, it can make them me in part at least, poichè the earthquake that it has indicated is the result of:

prediction # 10 Posted on May 23, 2002 at 13:08:28: Magnitude: 3,5/4,0 From: 2002-05-24 00:00:00 - To: 2002-06-03 23:59:59 Location: Northern Italy Lat: 45.0N - Long: 10.7E - Range: 50

Roger wrote: 1 Antonio Romino 2002/5/24 - 2002/6/3 45 10,7 3,5 4 50 Prob.4.21%

Even if he has gone out of some days, I have great certainty that draft exactly of the previewed earthquake. It was one of still turns out to you absent. It's possible that the time space that elapses between premonitory and the earthquake still follows one logical precise but not I have captured it, also why I dedicate great part of my time to the location of the zones, later on I will deepen the argument "time".With regard to magnitude the Italian lists they signal it near to the 4.0

Why I have written in advance payment of forecast # 14? Because draft of a forecast that has a particular character: it is constituted from a mainshock with several retorts that go on the time, therefore is of easy location. I suppose that to make an appraisal it must be more complicated or perhaps simpler in how much sismiche crisis they are not an ordinary fact. To Roger the arduous task.

Best regards, from Italy Antonio.

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