Don's forecast for Poland - completely successful
Posted by Lowell on April 08, 2002 at 18:50:49:

Don's Poland earthquake came to pass on April 6 according to the NEIS listing.
Several aftershocks were recorded by BGR on their web site today. For listing of
Earthquakes in Central Europe including Poland see:

http://www-seismo.hannover.bgr.de/cgi-bin/epxlist.script

BGR gives the following events in Poland today:

O: 08APR2002 19:15:41 51.6N 15.6E ML=3.1 BGR POLAND
O: 08APR2002 19:01:27 51.0N 15.4 E ML=2.5 BGR POLAND
O: 08APR2002 10:38:44 51.4N 16.1E ML=2.5 BGR POLAND


NEIS gives the following data for the event on April 6:


O: 06APR2002 19:16:21.1 51.5N 16.1E MB>3.0 NEIS POLAND

Don had forecast an event for Poland with the following forecast:

F: 07APR2002 +/- 2 day 51.7N 16.1E MB 3.0-4.0 Poland (within 65 km)

The NEIS event is within less 25 km within the magnitude and time window. A completely successful
"hit".

Don's Forecast had read:

http://www.earthwaves.org/wwwboard/messages/13949.html

Glogow, Poland Earthquake Forecast (3.0-4.0)
Posted by Don In Hollister on March 20, 2002 at 09:43:33:

Magnitude: 3.0-4.0
From: 04/05/2002UTC - To: 04/09/2002UTC
Location: Glogow, Poland
Lat: 51.7N - Long: 16.1E - Range: 65Km

Hi All. I hope my passport is in order. Sure would hate to get stopped because of some irregularity.

Looking for a 3.0 to 4.0 quake at 51.7N/16.1E. This is about 6Km north of Glogow, Poland.

Should occur on 04/07/2002. The window will open on 04/05/2002 and will close on 04/09/2002.

The radius for this will be 65Km. Take Care…Don in creepy town