Posted by Don In Hollister on April 05, 2002 at 12:05:24:
Hi Roger. Just so we are on the same page. Here is the way the data I use is scored. It may or may not be something you would want to use. Take Care…Don in creepy town For timing: A: within 2 days of stated date B: 3-5 days from date C: 6-8 days from date D: greater than 8 days from expected date For latitude and longitude: A: within 50 km of stated location B: within 50-90 km C: 90-150 km D: greater than 150 km away from For Magnitude: A: within stated magnitude limits +/- 0.1 B: larger than expected OR within 0.3 units on lower end C: 0.3-1.0 units smaller than expected D: more than 1 unit magnitude smaller than expected The last qualifier is the probability the event would occur randomly within the stated parameters: A: probability less than 10% B: probability 10-20% C: probability 20-30% D: probability > 30%
Follow Ups:
● Re: Roger, Prediction Evaluation - Roger Hunter 13:41:56 - 4/5/2002 (14648) (0)
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