Re: This morning's Mb 4.5 Vancouver Island event and Don's forecast
Posted by Lowell on April 04, 2002 at 09:29:27:

I should have mentioned in my original note that a Ml 3.4 foreshock occurred
on April 2 closer to Don's predicted epicenter and in the center of his time
window. This was the first M>=3.4 event in the Vancouver Island region since
December, 2001. PGC gives the following details:

O: 02APR2002 05:06:34 48.96N 129.13W ML= 3.4 PGC SSW Pt. Hardy BC, Vancouver Is.

Don's forecast had been for

F: 02APR2002 +/-2 day 49.6N 127.6W Ml 3.5-5.0 Vancouver Isl. within 35 km

It should also be noted that epicentral parameters from this region often
differ considerably from network to network often differing by as much as
50-100 km for a single event, so location comparisons may be invalid.


Follow Ups:
     ● Evaluation - Roger Hunter  11:42:36 - 4/5/2002  (14644)  (0)