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| Re: Earthquake forecasting goals |
Hi 2cents, Some of the questions which you asked deal with subjects such as astrology which are too complex to discuss here. Entire books have been written about them. And I myself am not an expert in all of those areas. Here are a few comments related to questions which I might be able to answer. *** I myself work only with sun and moon gravities. I would tend to agree with people who feel that the gravitational pulls of planets besides the Earth are probably not important to earthquake triggering processes. However, it has I believe been proposed that electromagnetic fields which exist between planets etc. may be having some direct or indirect impact on earthquake triggering. Seismic Activity and Storm Data The bold text lines are earthquakes. The normal text ones are precursors. At the end of many of the precursor lines there is a number which points to the earthquake which I thought might be responsible for the precursor. Look for matches in the C M T columns. To understand how other matches work you would need to read the information on the “Help” page. *** A match can exist between an earthquake and a new precursor signal without there having been a previous precursor signal match with that earthquake. *** I did some simple statistical calculations a while ago and concluded at that time that there was only something like a 1 in 20,000 chance that the precursor – earthquake link which I believe exists could be coincidental. *** There are a number of scientists who already consider my forecasts to be accurate and valuable. In the past I have even gotten called and asked for an opinion regarding the likelihood that an earthquake might be about to occur. In this and some other areas of science the easiest thing to do appears to be to find people who are of the same opinion as you are and then work with them. Arguing with others does not appear to get much accomplished. The only effective way to do that is probably through formal technical publications. I did publish one technical paper on this subject a number of years ago but am not presently planning to publish any new ones. The cost would be astronomical These are my own opinions. Follow Ups: ● Re: Earthquake forecasting goals - 2cents 21:19:22 - 4/3/2002 (14561) (0) ● Re: Clarification For EQF - Petra Challus 18:13:02 - 4/3/2002 (14557) (1) ● The last of the Bohicans - Cathryn 20:23:25 - 4/3/2002 (14560) (0) |
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