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Re: Results & Predictions..
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Posted by Lowell on March 29, 2002 at 08:43:53:
You have made a prediction for a time window that has nearly expired Shan, Time window 24 March through 30 March for predictions made on 29 MArch? That is not acceptable as a forecast, it is a hindcast. Of course, I realize these predictions had already been posted before today so that is not strictly correct, as they are true predictions, but you need to be careful not to make hindcasts - it is a technique some unscrupulous predictors use to better their score (or even to give the appearance of making hindcasts). It's a matter of credibility, better to miss than diminish your reputation as an honest forecaster.
Follow Ups:
● Re: Results & Predictions.. - R.Shanmugasundram 19:39:49 - 3/29/2002 (14373) (1)
● Understood - admirable goals. NT - Lowell 23:00:10 - 3/29/2002 (14375) (0)
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