Hi contestants;

here's the current standings as of yesterday.

What I've done is list all possible hits for each prediction.

1 . Canie
2002/3 /18 - 2002/3 /25 33.35 -118 4.5 9.9 30 Prob. 0%

2 . Canie
2002/3 /18 - 2002/3 /25 33.35 -116.5 5.0 9.9 40 Prob. .436%

3 . Cathryn
2002/3 /18 - 2002/3 /25 37.8 -118.7 2.0 3.5 50 Prob. 99.1%
2002/03/19 20:36:58.47 38.0415 -118.7 2.0 27.9 Prob. 99.1%
2002/03/19 23:59:28.70 38.0777 -118.9 2.1 38.2 Prob. 99.1%
2002/03/20 07:41:39.29 38.0727 -118.1 2 53.8 Prob. 99.1%
2002/03/20 07:58:47.16 38.0710 -118.2 2.0 52.8 Prob. 99.1%
2002/03/20 08:03:06.07 38.0708 -118.1 1.7 53.7 Prob. 100%
2002/03/20 09:20:19.67 38.0417 -118.7 2.2 27.9 Prob. 99.1%
2002/03/20 19:27:57.00 38.6500 -119.5 2.8 120.1 Prob. 100%
2002/03/20 19:47:00.90 38.6467 -119.5 2.4 119.6 Prob. 100%
2002/03/20 19:55:01.17 38.6433 -119.5 2.6 119.7 Prob. 100%
2002/03/21 01:22:20.08 38.6962 -119.6 2.1 129.6 Prob. 100%
2002/03/21 11:33:52.00 37.6308 -118.8 1.8 24.0 Prob. 100%
2002/03/21 14:57:42.63 37.5765 -119.8 2.5 106.3 Prob. 100%
2002/03/22 16:14:36.60 37.5358 -118.4 1.7 37.3 Prob. 100%
2002/03/24 02:55:14.71 38.5200 -118.2 2.5 87.8 Prob. 99.5%

4 . Cathryn
2002/3 /18 - 2002/3 /25 33.6 -117.9 2.0 4.0 50 Prob. 55.8%
2002/03/18 02:51:54.38 33.4862 -116.4 1.7 131.3 Prob. 100%
2002/03/18 05:54:17.01 33.1102 -116.4 1.8 147.4 Prob. 100%
2002/03/18 18:53:31.41 33.8257 -117.6 2.1 33.1 Prob. 55.8%
2002/03/18 21:19:37.14 34.1047 -116.9 1.7 106.4 Prob. 100%
2002/03/18 21:29:38.24 33.9782 -118.3 1.7 60.2 Prob. 95.1%
2002/03/19 02:53:15.46 33.8685 -117.8 2.2 30.1 Prob. 55.8%
2002/03/19 06:10:15.83 33.4843 -116.4 1.7 134.2 Prob. 100%
2002/03/19 08:46:19.26 33.8697 -117.8 1.8 30.3 Prob. 79.4%
2002/03/19 19:11:50.90 33.9572 -118.7 1.9 87.0 Prob. 100%
2002/03/20 02:54:07.12 33.8915 -116.9 1.7 89.9 Prob. 100%
2002/03/20 03:04:10.63 34.1475 -116.4 1.7 149.0 Prob. 100%
2002/03/20 17:49:57.74 33.6622 -119.3 2.5 130.2 Prob. 99.5%
2002/03/21 01:13:52.76 34.0253 -117.2 1.7 75.7 Prob. 99.5%
2002/03/21 02:44:55.60 34.3020 -119.2 2.1 148.8 Prob. 99.5%
2002/03/21 03:42:09.93 34.0007 -117.1 2.8 81.4 Prob. 96.0%
2002/03/21 17:26:52.62 33.6088 -119.3 2.5 136.6 Prob. 99.5%
2002/03/22 06:55:11.46 33.9667 -117.7 2.5 43.5 Prob. 55.8%

5 . Don
2002/3 /18 - 2002/3 /22 39.4 -121.2 1.7 3.0 35 Prob. 4.91%

6 . Don
2002/3 /21 - 2002/3 /25 46.3 13.1 3.0 4.5 65 Prob. 12.2%

7 . Petra
2002/3 /20 - 2002/3 /24 36.02 -120.9 2.0 3.3 40 Prob. 31.6%
2002/03/20 04:06:52.33 36.6388 -121.0 2.1 71.0 Prob. 81.6%
2002/03/21 01:17:09.52 36.5122 -121.0 2.6 57.4 Prob. 66.6%
2002/03/21 04:34:52.05 36.8642 -121.5 2 112.3 Prob. 95.3%
2002/03/21 05:29:01.05 36.8643 -121.5 2.3 112.4 Prob. 95.3%
2002/03/21 06:40:25.45 36.5127 -121.0 1.8 57.4 Prob. 87.9%
2002/03/22 01:48:24.09 36.6265 -121.2 1.9 73.6 Prob. 96.7%
2002/03/23 01:44:09.86 36.9490 -120.2 2.2 117.6 Prob. 96.9%
2002/03/23 12:16:39.23 36.7027 -121.3 1.8 85.5 Prob. 98.0%

As you can see, Cathryn is still in the lead with a 55.8% probability hit.
Petra is a close second at 66.6%

Do you like this way of listing results or should I narrow it down to the
4 best hits based on distance, date, size and probability?

Let me know.

Roger