One last evaluation - several weeks ago Don posted forecasts for Berkeley and Menlo Park, along with the Coalinga forecast
which has been previously examined, but not in detail. Following are the forecasts Don made compared with the actually
occurring events for these three regions.
All three forecasts successfully matched occurring earthquakes
in all respects - being within the 40 km range, time and magnitude
limits. Three more successes - again congratulations to Don.

20DEC2001 23:00:37 37.4N 122.1W Md 2.2 NW of Los Gatos, CA
19-23DEC 40 km of 37.4N 122.2W Ml 2.0-3.5 Menlo Park, CA

24DEC2001 07:19:20 37.8N 122.0W Md 2.6 E of San Ramon
25DEC2001 04:57:59 37.8N 122.1W Md 2.0 SSW of Alamo CA
25-29DEC 40 km of 37.9N 122.3W Ml 2.0-3.5 Berkeley, CA

25DEC2001 11:01:15 36.3N 120.7W Ml 2.4 SSW of New Idria, CA
23-27DEC 40 km of 36.2N 120.5W Ml 1.5-2.5 Coalinga, CA

Don's Original forecast follow:

Berkeley, California Earthquake Forecast
Posted by Don In Hollister on December 16, 2001 at 15:40:29:

Magnitude: 2.0-3.5Ml
From: 12/25/2001UTC - To: 12/29/2001
Location: Berkeley, California
Lat: 37.9N - Long: 122.3W - Range: 40Km

Hi All. Looks like the Bay Area is in for a little rock and roll.
Looking for a 2.0 to 3.5 quake at 37.9N/122.3W. This is about
7Km NNW of Berkeley, California. Should occur on 12/27/2001. The window
opens on 12/25/2001 and will close on
12/29/2001. The radius for this is 40Km. Take Care…Don in creepy town

Menlo Park, California Earthquake Forecast
Posted by Don In Hollister on December 16,
2001 at 15:53:11:

Magnitude: 2.0-3.5Ml
From: 12/19/2001UTC - To: 12/23/2001UTC
Location: Menlo Park, California
Lat: 37.4N - Long: 122.2W - Range: 40Km

Hi All. This is one of those times I wish I could get the quake to
occur where I wanted it too.

Looking for a 2.0 to 3.5 quake at 37.4N/122.2W. This is about 10Km
south of Menlo Park, California. Should occur on
12/21/2001. The window will open on 12/19/2001 and will close on
12/23/2001. The radius on this is 40Km so maybe there
is a chance for it occur about 10Km north of the forecasted area. Take
Care…Don in creepy town

Coalinga, California Earthquake Forecast
Posted by Don In Hollister on December 16, 2001 at 15:27:14:

Magnitude: 1.5-2.5Ml
From: 12/23/2001UTC - To: 12/27/2001UTC
Location: Coalinga, California
Lat: 36.2N - Long: 120.5W - Range: 40Km

Hi All. Having had my usual ration of raw onion and garlic sandwich for the day it looks like there will be a popcorn
quake (1.5 to 2.5) at 36.2N/120.5W. This is about 15Km NW of Coalinga, California. Should occur on 12/25/2001. The
window opens on 12/23/2001 and will close on 12/27/2001. The radius on this is 40Km. Take Care…Don in creepy town