By the way, Don's earthquake in Japan was finally listed by NEIS today.
They are listing the following event in eastern Japan:

O: 01Dec2001 02:26:34 36.1N 138.8E MB=4.3 NEI EASTERN HONSHU, JAPAN

Don had forecast:

P: 22-26NOV 65 km 35.9N 138.6E MJ 3.8-5.1 Fussa-Machi, Honshu Japan

While the earthquake in question lies within 35 km of the predicted
epicenter and the magnitude lies in the middle of the forecast magnitude
range, the earthquake occurred 5 days late.

Probability:

This region is really NOT highly seismic, as one might first suppose
for an area of Japan. Since Nov. 20, 1998 (3 year to forecast date)
there were only 6 days on which a "successful" earthquake occurred.
This is a probability of 6/219 = 0.027 for random "success" during a
5-day window (odds of about 1 in 37); and 6/110 = 0.054 during a 10-day
window which would include the date of the actual earthquake. In this
case odds of about 1 in 19 for random success. Keep the home fires
in Japan burning, Don.

Don's original forecast (#11191, Nov. 20, 2001) had read:

Fussa-Machi, Honshu Japan Earthquake Forecast
Posted by Don In Hollister on November 20, 2001 at 18:01:11:

Magnitude: 3.8-5.1Mj
From: 11/22/2001UTC - To: 11/26/2001UTC
Location: Fussa, Honshu Japan
Lat: 35.9N - Long: 138.6E - Range: 65Km

Hi All. Well I got to make a forecast near my current home, now I get to
make one near a place I use to call home.

Looking for a 3.8 to 5.1Mj at 35.9N/138.6E. This is about 85Km NW of Fussa,
Honshu, Japan. Should occur on 11/24/2001.
The window will open on 11/22/2001 and will close on 11/26/2001. The radius
on this is 65Km.
Take Care...Don in creepy
town