Another Geysers successful forecast for Don
Posted by Lowell on November 18, 2001 at 17:20:55:

Hey Don and Petra,
Good going on the forecast of the Geysers quake tonight.
and
Petra, looks like, even with your recent successes, you can't
write Don out of the picture.

NCSN is reporting the following event this afternoon:

01/11/19 00:43:52 38.82N 122.79W 4.5 3.3Ml A* 2 km NNE of The Geysers

Source:
http://quake.wr.usgs.gov/cgi-bin/quake/quake.geo.berkeley.edu/name=quake

On Nov. 14, Don in Hollister had forecast an earthquake of Ml 2.5-3.7
- that forecast had actually stated 2.7, but this was a typographical
error. From later e-mail from Don, the intended magnitude limits were
2.5-3.7 not 2.5-2.7. The earthquake was expected to occur within
40 km of 38.6N 122.8W between 19 and 23 November. In an e-mail
update I received this morning, Don added that a second event could
occur at 38.8N 122.8W. Previous examples of predictions for the
Geysers region have indicated that the odds of success for
such a forecast is about 1 in 5. Another good forecast for the
Geysers, Don - how many does that make in a row now?


Don's original forecast (post #10952) had stated:

Windsor, California Earthquake Forecast
Posted by Don In Hollister on November 14, 2001 at 15:24:05:

Magnitude: 2.4-3.7Ml (Typo error corrected 2.7 to 3.7)
From: 11/19/2001PST - To: 11/23/2001PST
Location: Windsor, California
Lat: 38.6N - Long: 122.8W - Range: 40Km

Hi All. According to the Oregon quake it appears I have the right combination
with my raw onion/garlic sandwich with the Moosehead Beer chaser.

For those who are interested I use the Texas Sweet onion and the elephant
variety garlic. I want Cathryn to know that all my beers have character. How
do you think I became the character I is, are, am?

Probably a bit of both Lowell. I'm getting a little more accurate, and you
are becoming much more accepting.

http://www.earthwaves.org/wwwboard/messages/10952.html



Follow Ups:
     ● The Legend Of The Geysers - Don In Hollister  18:02:58 - 11/18/2001  (11099)  (1)
        ● Re: The Legend Of The Geysers - Lowell  20:29:33 - 11/18/2001  (11104)  (1)
           ● Re: The Legend Of The Geysers - Canie  07:49:11 - 11/19/2001  (11116)  (1)
              ● Re: The Legend Of The Geysers - Petra Challus  08:51:55 - 11/19/2001  (11120)  (0)