I see Don has published several more predictions today, so it
is time to evaluate some of his past work. The first is the
prediction for Rampur, India (Post #10567 below, posted on Nov 1, 2001).

Don had predicted an event of M 3.5-4.7 within 65 km of 31.7N 78E
within 2 days of November 5, 2001. NEIS lists the following
event:

O: 06Nov2001 16:09:12 33.1N 78.5E MB=4.9 NEIS KASHMIR-XIZANG BORDER REG

This earthquake falls within 150 km of Don's predicted event and
within the time window specified (1 day off the expected). The
Mb magnitude is larger than expected, but since no magnitude type
was specified and GSSC gives the event Ms 4.7, I will accept
that the magnitude was within the range specified.

Fifteen 5-day periods within the last 4 years (since October, 1997)
have boasted an earthquake within 150 km of the given epicenter with
magnitude 3.5-4.9. In the same period there are 292 5-day periods.
The probability of getting a "success" in this wider area are therefore
about 0.05 or odd of about 1 in 20.
While slightly off the mark on the location, this is otherwise
a very useful and subsantially correct prediction. Congratulations
again on another good piece of work, Don.

Don's Forecast had read:

Rampur, India Earthquake Forecast
Posted by Don In Hollister on November 01, 2001 at 09:58:30:

Magnitude: 3.5-4.7
From: 11/03/2001UTC - To: 11/072001UTC
Location: Rampur, India
Lat: 31.7N - Long: 78.0E - Range: 65Km

Hi All. Looking for a 3.5 to 4.7 quake at 31.7N/78.0E. This is about 40Km NE
of Rampur, India. It should occur on 11/05/2001. The widow opens on 11/03/2001
and will close on 11/07/2001. The radius on this is 65Km. Take Care...Don in
creepy town