Re: Do Thrust Faults have reoccurence intervals?
Posted by Lowell on November 04, 2001 at 01:27:11:

Thrust faults do have recurrence intervals. A typical example is the thrust fault
along the Central Chile Subduction zone. In this case the interevent time is about
79 years. Great earthquakes have occurred on the section between 33S and 40S
in the following years and interevent times:
1570 Ms 8.3 1575 Ms 8.5
77 years 82 years
1647 Ms 8.5, 1657 Ms 8.3
83 years 94 years
1730 Ms 8.7, 1751 Ms 8.5
92 years 84 years
1822 Ms 8.5, 1835 Ms 8.5
84 years 87 years
1906 Ms 8.6 , 1922 Ms 8.3
79 years
1985 Ms 8.0 200? MS 8+

As you can see the interevent period is between 75 and 95 years consistently
with a great earthquake followed by a second between 5 and 15 years later.
This would place a great earthquake in this area coming soon.


Follow Ups:
     ● Re: Do Thrust Faults have reoccurence intervals? - Canie  08:35:36 - 11/4/2001  (10700)  (1)
        ● Re: Do Thrust Faults have reoccurence intervals? - Lowell  09:40:12 - 11/4/2001  (10705)  (0)