Posted by Skywise on October 31, 2013 at 05:51:52:
I just spent the last several hours cleaning up my code, adding new features, arranging for general use, and optimizing for speed. It's much more organized now, and much faster. Plus the core routines are now generalized so I can easily analyze other prediction lists by only changing the block of code that loads said list. I also updated my quake catalog and ran the latest list Roger sent me. Each prediction is tested for the magnitude listed. In summary: Total Predictions: 212 Total Hits: 50 Standard Deviation: 10.3210039 Normalized Score: 0.0584786 Normal Distribution Value: ~0.5239
Details below. Brian -------------------------------------------------- Reading Amit prediction list... 3 H:/!XB Programs/!!!!My Files/jones prob/Roger's amit stuff/20131030/adsm.CSV Filesize: 5540 Predictions: 212 Window Size: 3 First prediction: 2454053.00000000 Last prediction: 2456589.50000000 Time span: 2536.50000000 lo/hi mags: 6.00 8.00 Analysis Start: 2454051.50000000 Analysis End: 2456591.00000000 function time: 0.000 -------------------------------------------------- Loading filtered CNSS database... 3 H:/Geo/earthquakes/Catalogs/CNSS 131011/CNSS131030.bin Filesize: 95998400 Records: 1232 function time: 2.438 -------------------------------------------------- Begin Date Mag Jones Prob Hit Jones Score Expected Variance Window Size Windows 2454051.50000000 6.5 0.30950975 * 1.17276570 0.10725699 0.50889805 3.00000000 846.50000000 2454074.00000000 7.2 0.07206143 -0.07478974 0.12013830 0.48928851 3.00000000 846.50000000 2454080.50000000 6.9 0.15593621 -0.16952720 0.14668577 0.54123725 3.00000000 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846.50000000 2456340.00000000 6.5 0.30950975 -0.37035342 0.10725699 0.50889805 3.00000000 846.50000000 2456348.00000000 6.6 0.22090963 -0.24962823 0.13909094 0.53289925 3.00000000 846.50000000 2456355.00000000 6.5 0.30950975 -0.37035342 0.10725699 0.50889805 3.00000000 846.50000000 2456361.00000000 6.3 0.44654460 * 0.80621601 0.03260152 0.48287130 3.00000000 846.50000000 2456369.00000000 6.4 0.37448317 -0.46917704 0.07434239 0.49344283 3.00000000 846.50000000 2456381.00000000 6.8 0.18665092 -0.20659488 0.14526263 0.53948643 3.00000000 846.50000000 2456382.00000000 6.8 0.18665092 -0.20659488 0.14526263 0.53948643 3.00000000 846.50000000 2456421.00000000 6.3 0.44654460 -0.59157410 0.03260152 0.48287130 3.00000000 846.50000000 2456437.00000000 6.6 0.22090963 * 1.51000158 0.13909094 0.53289925 3.00000000 846.50000000 2456450.00000000 6.7 0.18665092 -0.20659488 0.14526263 0.53948643 3.00000000 846.50000000 2456459.00000000 6.4 0.37448317 * 0.98220843 0.07434239 0.49344283 3.00000000 846.50000000 2456465.00000000 7.0 0.12758417 -0.13648910 0.14361787 0.53650600 3.00000000 846.50000000 2456472.00000000 6.3 0.44654460 -0.59157410 0.03260152 0.48287130 3.00000000 846.50000000 2456480.00000000 6.4 0.37448317 * 0.98220843 0.07434239 0.49344283 3.00000000 846.50000000 2456494.00000000 6.6 0.22090963 -0.24962823 0.13909094 0.53289925 3.00000000 846.50000000 2456520.00000000 6.4 0.37448317 * 0.98220843 0.07434239 0.49344283 3.00000000 846.50000000 2456547.00000000 6.5 0.30950975 -0.37035342 0.10725699 0.50889805 3.00000000 846.50000000 2456553.06250000 6.1 0.52569403 -0.74590267 -0.01574594 0.48101401 3.00000000 846.50000000 2456568.66666667 6.4 0.37448317 * 0.98220843 0.07434239 0.49344283 3.00000000 846.50000000 2456574.00000000 6.7 0.18665092 -0.20659488 0.14526263 0.53948643 3.00000000 846.50000000 2456582.00000000 6.6 0.22090963 -0.24962823 0.13909094 0.53289925 3.00000000 846.50000000 2456588.00000000 6.3 0.44654460 * 0.80621601 0.03260152 0.48287130 3.00000000 846.50000000 Begin Date Mag Jones Prob Hit Jones Score Expected Variance Window Size Windows sums: 50 22.95230518 22.34874783 106.52312195 -------------------------------------------------- Results Standard Deviation: 10.3210039 Normalized Score: 0.0584786 -------------------------------------------------- run time: 4.781 done. --------------------------------------------------
Follow Ups:
● Re: New results - Roger Hunter 09:32:13 - 10/31/2013 (101238) (1)
● Re: New results - Skywise 16:35:39 - 10/31/2013 (101240) (1)
● Re: New results - Roger Hunter 17:26:35 - 10/31/2013 (101243) (1)
● Re: New results - Skywise 17:47:48 - 10/31/2013 (101246) (1)
● Re: New results - Roger Hunter 23:42:39 - 10/31/2013 (101250) (0)
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